Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000134 0.000150 0.000166 0.000185 0.000206 0.000229 0.000255
2025-09-14 0.000111 0.000131 0.000154 0.000183 0.000216 0.000255 0.000302
2025-09-21 0.000096 0.000120 0.000149 0.000185 0.000231 0.000286 0.000359
2025-09-28 0.000085 0.000111 0.000143 0.000186 0.000243 0.000315 0.000414
2025-10-05 0.000075 0.000101 0.000136 0.000185 0.000252 0.000340 0.000465
2025-10-12 0.000068 0.000096 0.000134 0.000189 0.000267 0.000374 0.000532
2025-10-19 0.000062 0.000090 0.000130 0.000189 0.000277 0.000401 0.000591
2025-10-26 0.000056 0.000085 0.000126 0.000190 0.000286 0.000427 0.000650
2025-11-02 0.000051 0.000079 0.000121 0.000188 0.000291 0.000448 0.000704
2025-11-09 0.000047 0.000076 0.000119 0.000189 0.000302 0.000477 0.000771
2025-11-16 0.000043 0.000071 0.000114 0.000186 0.000306 0.000496 0.000823
2025-11-23 0.000040 0.000067 0.000111 0.000185 0.000312 0.000518 0.000884
2025-11-30 0.000037 0.000064 0.000108 0.000185 0.000320 0.000545 0.000954
2025-12-07 0.000034 0.000060 0.000104 0.000184 0.000325 0.000567 0.001018
2025-12-14 0.000033 0.000059 0.000104 0.000187 0.000338 0.000604 0.001113
2025-12-21 0.000031 0.000056 0.000102 0.000188 0.000348 0.000637 0.001201
2025-12-28 0.000029 0.000054 0.000099 0.000187 0.000354 0.000662 0.001278
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000053 0.000099 0.000191 0.000370 0.000706 0.001394
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000051 0.000097 0.000191 0.000378 0.000737 0.001488
2026-01-18 0.000024 0.000049 0.000095 0.000191 0.000386 0.000768 0.001584
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000047 0.000093 0.000189 0.000390 0.000790 0.001663
2026-02-01 0.000022 0.000045 0.000091 0.000191 0.000400 0.000826 0.001775
2026-02-08 0.000020 0.000043 0.000089 0.000188 0.000402 0.000846 0.001854